1.1 What Has a Probability Propositions vs Events
1.2 Probabilities Range Between 0 and 1
1.3 Mutually Exclusive Events
1.5 The Negation Rule P(not-A)
1.6 Restricted Disjunction Rule P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
1.7 General Disjunction Rule P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
1.8 Restricted Conjunction Rule P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
1.9 General Conjunction Rule P(A and B) = P(A) x P(BA)
1.10 General Conditional Probability Rule
1.11 Total Probability Rule
2.1 Critical Thinking About Coincidences Introduction
2.3 Borel's Law Understanding Impossible Events
2.4 How to Create the Illusion of Miraculous Predictive Power
2.5 The Birthday Problem, Lottery Coincidences, and the Power of Very Large Numb
3.3 Fairness, Bias and Independence
3.4 How Can You Tell Whether a Chance Setup is Unfair
3.5 The Physics of Coin Tosses
3.6 Casino Games Why the House Always Wins
3.7 Cognitive Factors and the Psychology of Gambling
4.1 The Small Sample Fallacy Looking for Causes of Statistical Artifacts
5.2 A Minimal Five-Part Structure
5.3 Writing the Introduction
5.4 Writing the Conclusion
5.5 The Essay Should Teachers Be Allowed to Ban Laptops in Classrooms
5.6 Analysis The Introduction
5.7 Analysis Main Body First Argument
5.8 Analysis Main Body Second Argument
5.9 Analysis Main Body Third Argument
5.10 Analysis Main Body Evaluation and Recommendations
5.11 Analysis The Conclusion
5.12 The Essay Improved Version
5.13 The Essay Improved Version with Commentary
6.3 Plagiarism The Basic Definition
6.4 Downloading or Buying Whole Papers
6.5 Cutting and Pasting From Several Sources
6.6 Changing Some Words But Copying Whole Phrases
6.7 Paraphrasing Without Attribution
6.8 The Debate Over Patchwriting
6.9 When Should I Cite a Source
6.10 What Needs to be Cited
6.11 How to Cite Mark the Boundaries
6.12 Citing a Longer Quotation
6.13 Citing a Source But Not Quoting
6.14 A Comment About Common Knowledge
6.15 Citation Styles MLA, APA, CSE, Chicago, Turabian